Jon Lester, CHC at TAM ($9,100): Lester's season has been a bit up and down, but he's turned in two straight quality starts while also doing so in seven of his last 10 starts. That gives him a seemingly stable floor for 50-50 contests, while his 24.5 percent fan rate on the road paired with the Rays'.303 wOBA, 88 wRC+ and 26.3 percent strikeout rate give him tournament upside.
Yan Gomes, CLE at LAA ($2,800): I don't like putting heavy stock in head-to-head matchups, but it's a nice trump card here for Gomes. The Indians have a superb offense thatís clicking, and Gomes gives a nice buy in against Ricky Nolasco, who has a 5.18 second half ERA while allowing a .387 wOBA to righties. And that head-to-head; Gomes is 4-of-12 with three homers and six RBI against Nolasco.
Freddie Freeman, ATL vs. WAS ($4,100): Speaking of head-to-head, Freeman is 13-of-42 (.310) with three homers and 16 RBI in his career against Nats' starter Gio Gonzalez. He carries a .376 wOBA against same-handed arms while Gonzalez has allowed 10 runs over his last 16 innings.
Neil Walker, MIL at PIT ($3,300): Pirates' starter Steven Brault has been hit hard by opposite-handed bats at home to the tune of a .388 wOBA and .905 OPS, while Walker counters with a .347 wOBA and 115 wRC+ on the road against lefties. All 14 of Walker's homers have come from the other side of the plate, but he's a low risk, low reward play in this spot.
Jake Lamb, ARI at SDP ($3,000): Lamb has certainly struggled in the second half, but the price drop as a result has made him worth the risk in this spot. He's sporting a .379 wOBA, 129 wRC+ and .247 ISO on the road against righties, his highest totals among four possible splits. And while Padres' starter Dinelson Lamet has a 26.3 percent fan rate at Petco Park to lefties, he's also allowing a .354 wOBA.
Elvis Andrus, TEX at SEA ($3,700): Felix Hernandez is likely to go deeper into this contest after throwing 54 pitches in his first start since July 31 last time out. That should bode well for Andrus setting the table for the Rangers. Andrus has a stable .352 wOBA and 115 wRC+, numbers that don't change much on the road (.349/113) or against opposite-handed arms (.354/116), so the Mariners bullpen usage won't alter his prospects. He's also 29-of-100 in his career against Hernandez with 16 RBI, a large enough sample size to lean against and feel safe.
Mookie Betts, BOS at BAL ($4,500): I wanted to recommend a cheaper Rafael Devers ($3,300) in the Red Sox lineup, but O's starter Wade Miley has been tough on same-handed bats all season. As such, I'll take the stability that Betts seems to provide. He owns a .370 wOBA and 128 wRC+ against lefties, and Miley is limping to the finish, owning a 9.00 ERA over 12.0 September innings and a 5.82 second half ERA, while allowing righties to post a .372 wOBA against.
Lorenzo Cain, KAN at TOR ($3,600): Blue Jays starter Brett Anderson has been torched at home to the tune of an 8.59 ERA, while allowing a .415 wOBA regardless of the batter's handedness, and .375 to righties. Cain's .328 wOBA against lefties leaves some to be desired, but it's the second-highest among Royal regulars, and he's $500 cheaper than Whit Merrifield, who is ahead of him, making him the bargain buy in against Anderson.
Yasiel Puig, LAD at PHI ($3,400): Puig's .357 wOBA, 123 wRC+ and .244 ISO on the road against righties should play well against Phillies' starter Jake Thompson, who is allowing a .406 wOBA and .967 OPS to same-handed batters at home. 21.4 percent of the fly balls Thompson gives up to righties at Citizen's Bank Park have left the yard, while Puig has a 38.1 percent flyball rate on the road.