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FantasyDraft MLB: Monday Values

Juan Carlos Blanco

Winner of the FSWA 2016 Newcomer of the Year Award, Juan Carlos Blanco has been playing fantasy sports for close to 20 years and covers NBA, MLB, and the NFL for, including serving as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers' beat writer. He has previously written for and remains an avid season-long and daily fantasy player in multiple sports.


Zack Godley, ARI vs. SF ($20,700):- Godley was unexpectedly roughed up by the Padres in his last start, but heís back home Monday, where he sports a solid 3.03 ERA, along with a .179 BAA and .254 wOBA allowed over 71.1 innings. The Giants have a 22.9 percent strikeout rate and .290 wOBA against right-handers on the road in September, while Godley has racked up 93 whiffs in 79.1 second-half innings.

Drew Pomeranz, BOS vs. TOR ($17,700):- Pomeranz owns a 3-0 record, 1.93 ERA and .231 BAA against the Blue Jays this season, along with 91 strikeouts over 81 home innings. Toronto also has a 23.1 percent strikeout rate and .291 wOBA versus southpaws on the road in September, while Pomeranz has a .266 ERA and .293 wOBA over his last four starts, eclipsing 20 fantasy points in three of them.


Jose Altuve, HOU at TEX ($10,400):- Altuve has double-digit fantasy points in three of his last four games and owns a .495 wOBA, .312 ISO and 35.4 percent hard-contact rate against right-handed pitching on the road. Rangers starter Andrew Cashner has allowed a .332 wOBA (including four homers), a 5.47 xFIP and season-high 35.5 percent hard-contact rate over his last four starts, while Rangers relievers have a 7.67 ERA and have allowed a .385 wOBA (including six homers) to righty bats at home in September.

Yadier Molina, STL vs. CHC ($7,200):- Molina has touched up lefties for a .356 wOBA, .283 ISO and 45.4 percent hard-contact rate, a tally that includes 16 extra-base hits (nine doubles, seven homers) Meanwhile, 21 of the 25 homers that Cubs starter Jon Lester has allowed have come off right-handed hitters, and heís allowed a .361 wOBA to that handedness on the road. He also has a 5.91 ERA and has yielded a .405 wOBA (including five homers) in the 21.1 innings encompassing his last four starts, while Cubs relievers have allowed a .329 wOBA to right-handed hitters on the road in September.

Luis Valbuena, LAA at CWS ($5,200):- White Sox starter James Shields has been better in the second half, but heís still allowing a .395 wOBA (including 17 homers) to left-handed hitters, along with a 22.4 percent HR/FB rate and 32.6 percent hard-contact rate. Valbuena has hit 20 of his 21 homers this season off righties and boasts a .330 wOBA, .248 ISO and 36.6 percent hard-contact rate versus that handedness. Shields is also allowing a .431 wOBA when throwing his four-seam fastball, a pitch that Valbuena owns a .331 wOBA (including eight homers) against. White Sox relievers have also allowed a .345 wOBA (including four homers) to lefty bats at home in September.


Giancarlo Stanton, MIA at COL ($11,200):- Stantonís bat and the thin Coors Field air are a match made in fantasy heaven, while his .396 wOBA (including 43 homers), .333 ISO, 33.6 percent HR/FB rate and 38.6 percent hard-contact rate versus righties also make a strong case. Rockies starter Tyler Chatwood has allowed a .362 wOBA, 31.6 percent HR/FB rate and 32.0 percent hard-contact rate to right-handed hitters at home, and a .435 wOBA when throwing his four-seam fastball, a pitch that Stanton owns a .445 wOBA (including 22 homers) against.

Mookie Betts, BOS vs. TOR ($10,200):- Betts has a .381 wOBA and season-best 45.7 percent hard-contact rate over 93 September plate appearances, and a .396 wOBA and 33.9 percent hard-contact rate versus southpaws at home this season. Blue Jays starter Brett Anderson has allowed a .375 wOBA to right-handed hitters, along with a 38.3 percent hard-contact rate when facing them on the road. Heís also allowing a .453 wOBA when throwing his trademark sinker, a pitch Betts owns a .382 wOBA against.

Avisail Garcia, CWS vs. LAA ($6,800):- Angels starter Ricky Nolascoís struggles versus righties on the road include a .424 wOBA, 33.3 percent HR/FB rate and 42.2 percent hard-contact rate allowed. Garcia has punished righties at home for a .375 wOBA and 22.2 percent HR/FB rate, while Angels relievers have a 6.16 ERA and have allowed a .374 wOBA (including an AL-high eight homers) to righty bats on the road in September.


Charlie Blackmon, COL vs. MIA ($11,200):- Marlins starter Odrismar Despaigne has allowed a .434 wOBA and 8.61 xFIP to lefty bats on the road, while Blackmonís body of work versus righties at Coors Field includes a .512 wOBA, .424 ISO and 47.5 percent hard contact rate. Blackmon is also boasting a season-high 47.7 percent hard-contact rate overall in 98 September plate appearances.

Justin Bour, MIA at COL ($9,900):- Rockies starter Tyler Chatwood has been even more vulnerable to lefty bats, particularly at home, where heís surrendered a .408 wOBA, 2.02 WHIP, 26.7 percent HR/FB rate, 29.0 percent line-drive rate and 34.0 percent hard-contact rate to that handedness Bour sports a .390 wOBA, 25.2 percent line-drive rate, 25.0 percent HR/FB rate and 43.9 percent hard-contact rate against righties, along with a .428 wOBA versus the four-seam fastball that Chatwood yields a .435 wOBA on when throwing. Rockies relievers also have an 8.56 ERA and have allowed a .372 wOBA to lefty bats at home in September.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Juan Carlos Blanco plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: DraftKings: jcblanco22, FanDuel: jc_blanco22, DraftPot: jc_blanco22, FantasyDraft: jc_blanco22, OwnThePlay: jcblanco22.